Calculating Costs to Determine True Profit is Important
Spatial Pattern
Recognition Skills™ are an area where Retail Traders fall far behind their
counter-parts, which are the Professional Traders.
To succeed at trading
and by that I mean making serious income you must have both the Candlesticks
which represent analysis of PRICE and the indicators which represent analysis
of Volume, Accumulation/Distribution, Relational Analysis, Comparative Analysis
and more. The combination of candlesticks and proper indicators is crucial, and
is what all the Professionals use.
The question posed
last week was which of the three charts had an excellent Engulfing White, for a
strong entry and run for Day or Swing Trading. Only one of the 3 Engulfing
White patterns in the QUESTIONS article had a good run.
Spatial Pattern
Recognition Skills Are An Essential Trading Skill Set ANSWERS are below.
The Chart 1 example
was First Solar Inc. (FSLR: NASDAQ) with a pattern that appeared to be starting
a bottom. Here is what happened:
should be obvious on
the chart if you have excellent SPRS abilities. Look at the chart again. Study
it now that you have the action AFTER the Engulfing White. What is wrong? If
you chose this one, what did you miss?
The Chart 2 example
was OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC: NASDAQ). It moved up, however it did not
move with momentum.
If you had been in
this stock, most Day or Swing Traders would have gotten discouraged OR would
have exited for a small loss even though netting a slight gain because of the
all of the cost factors, not just the transaction fees. The gain of .20 to .40
cents does not cover all of your trading expenses. That is why at the end of
the year, traders have minimal to no profit from trading, so calculating
costs to determine true profit is important. Study the chart again. What
did you miss?
The Chart 3 example
was Simpson Manufacturing Company, Inc. (SSD: NYSE) and it had the kind of run
you WANT to trade, which is a solid run up with excellent point gains.
What is different
about SSD from FSLR or OCFC candlestick patterns? Look at the charts again and
see if you can identify WHY SSD was the only chart that actually was a strong
entry and a great Day or Swing Trade. If you did not pick this one, what did
you miss? Why did you not select this one?
This lesson is a
BASIC skill. You need to be able to quickly look at a small group of charts and
candlesticks, select the best one, and then confirm with proper indicators for
a complete analysis.
How did you do? Did
you get the correct answer? If you have been trading for more than 5 years, it
should have been an easy task to choose the right chart.
What I find with most
Retail Traders who have been trading for decades and are still trying to find a
magic indicator or holy grail that will make them successful, is they simply
lack basic skills of Technical Analysis.
Keep in mind that
learning Technical Analysis, Candlestick Patterns, or Indicator Patterns is NOT
learning to trade. You have to combine all of these into a Trading Process that
works.
Summary
Spatial Pattern
Recognition Skills are a basic skill that is crucial to success in the Stock
Market. Now I expect some of you will be grumbling that it could be too hard to
learn, does not matter, or why not just use the indicators? Well you
would not be reading these articles if you were making 6 digits a year, now
would you?
For me, teaching in
my retirement when I could be doing many other things is about helping Retail
Traders see what they need to focus on, to help them become successful. So go
over the charts again. YOU matter to the stock market, and your success matters
to the stability of the market and that is why I teach.
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Trade Wisely,
Martha Stokes CMT
TechniTrader technical analysis using a StockCharts chart, courtesy of StockCharts.com
Chartered Market Technician
Instructor & Developer of TechniTrader Stock and Option Courses
TechniTrader DVDs with every course.
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